Sunday, September 11, 2016

NHL Preview - Boston Bruins

Boston Bruins

2015-16 season: 42-13-9, 93 points
Head Coach: Claude Julien (2007)
4th Place Atlantic Division
General Manager: Don Sweeney (2015)
9th Place Eastern Conference
AHL Affiliate: Providence Bruins
ECHL Affiliate: Atlanta Gladiators
Cap Space: $5,831,667

Free Agents Lost in the Offseason

POS.
Player
New Team
Contract
LW
Loui Eriksson
Vancouver Canucks
6 years, $36 million
RW
Lee Stempniak
Carolina Hurricanes
2 years, $5 million
RW
Brett Connolly
Carolina Hurricanes
1 year, $850,000
RW
Landon Ferraro
St. Louis Blues
1 year, $700,000
RW
Max Talbot
HC Lokomotiv (KHL)

RW
Chris Kelly
Ottawa Senators
1 year, $900,000
LW
Brendon DeFazio
Texas Stars (AHL)

D
Dennis Seidenberg
Bought Out (UFA)

D
Zach Trotman
LA Kings
1 year, $650,000
D
Matt Irwin
Nashville Predators
1 year, $575,000
G
Jonas Gustavsson
Edmonton Oilers
1 year, $800,000
G
Jeremy Smith
Colorado Avalanche
1 year, $600,000

Incoming Free Agents

POS.
Player
Old Team
Contract
C/RW
David Backes
St. Louis Blues
5 years, $30 million
C
Dominic Moore
New York Rangers
1 year, $800,000
RW
Riley Nash
Carolina Hurricanes
2 years, $1.8 million
G
Anton Khudobin
Anaheim Ducks
2 years, $2.4 million
C
Tim Shaller
Buffalo Sabres
1 year, $600,000
D
Alex Grant
Arizona Coyotes
1 year, $600,000

2016 Draft Picks

RD
Pick No.
POS.
Name
Junior/College/Club Team
1
14
D
Charles McAvoy
Boston University (Hockey East)
1
29
C
Trent Frederic
U.S. National Development Team
2
49
D
Ryan Lindgren
U.S. National Development Team
5
135
LW
Jonna Koppanen
Ilves Jr. (Finland)
5
136
D
Cameron Clarke
Lone Star Brahmas (NAHL)
6
165
C
Oskar Steen
Farjestad Jrs (Sweden)

Top Three Prospects

POS
Name
Draft Info
Current Team
LW
Jake Debrusk
2015 1st Rd (14)
Red Deer Rebels
D
Brandon Carlo
2015 2nd RD (37)
AHL/ECHL
D
Jakub Zboril
2015 1st RD (13)
St. John Sea Dogs

Projected Lineup

Forwards


POS
Name
Age
Nationality
Free Agent Year
LW
Brad Marchand
28
Canada
2017
C
(A) Patrice Bergeron
31
Canada
2022
RW
Jimmy Hayes
26
United States
2018
LW
Ryan Spooner
24
Canada
2017 (RFA)
C
(A) David Krejci
30
Czech Republic
2021
RW
David Pastrnak
20
Czech Republic
2017 (RFA)
LW
Matt Beleskey
28
Canada
2020
C
David Backes
32
United States
2021
RW
Frank Vatrano
22
United States
2018 (RFA)
LW
Zac Rinaldo
26
Canada
2017
C
Dominic Moore
36
Canada
2017
RW
Riley Nash
27
Canada
2018

Defensemen

POS
Name
Age
Nationality
Free Agent Year
D
(C) Zdeno Chara
39
Slovakia
2018
D
Kevan Miller
28
United States
2020
D
Torey Krug
25
United States
2010
D
Andy McQuaid
29
Canada
2019
D
John-Michael Liles
35
United States
2017
D
Colin Miller
23
United States
2018 (RFA)

Goalies

POS
Name
Age
Nationality
Free Agent Year
G
Tuukka Rask
39
Finland
2021
G
Anton Khudobin
30
Russia
2018

Extra Skaters


POS
Name
Age
Nationality
Free Agent Year
RW
Tyler Randell
25
Canada
2017
C
Noel Acciari
24
United States
2017
D
Joe Morrow
23
Canada
2017
RW
Seth Griffith
23
Canada
2017





















Season Outlook

  • Last year the Boston Bruins finished outside of the playoffs for the second consecutive year. After weeks of talks regarding Head Coach Claude Julien's job status, the Bruins' front office decide to stay with him.  This was probably the smartest move, as the team finished in a tie with Detroit for the third divisional playoff spot and six points out of the last wild card position. Coach Julien had the team in the upper half of nearly all of the major statistical categories: 
CAT.
Goals For
Goals Against
PP %
PK %
PDO
Corsi For
Corsi Against
Corsi For %
oZS%
dZS%
Stat
240
230
20.51
82.22
100.0
4667
4710
49.8
50.6
49.4
Bruins’ Rank
5th
20th
7th
11th
17th
9th
9th
17th
18th
18th

PDO = Even Strength Shooting Percentage + Even Strength Save Percentage
Corsi For = Shots + Blocks + Misses while in possession of puck
Crosi Against = Shots + Blocks + Misses while not in possession of puck
Corsi For % = Corsi For/(Corsi For+Corsi Against) -> Above 50% means that team controls play
oZS% = Offensive Zone Start Percentage
dZS% = Defensive Zone Start Percentage
  • The Bruins mainly struggled with puck possession last season.  As the team's Corsi numbers show, their opponents outshot them throughout the season.  Their defense and goaltending were also both areas of struggle for Boston last year, ranking in the bottom half of the league of goals allowed.  Based on the players they brought in during the offseason, it would appear that the team's struggles were not addressed.  Forward David Backes, while talented, most likely will not help in creating a more up-tempo, puck possession team.  He is big and rather slow, neither of which works within the constraints of what wins in today's NHL.  The only way that this signing makes sense is that the front office felt that the team needed another center and that this need was more important than resigning the talented goalscorer Loui Eriksson.  Their other signings are meant to help the team's depth but won't contribute much to help their defensive problems.  I'm not sure how quickly Boston's top prospects are expected to make it to the NHL, so we're going to assume that the roster they have right now is the roster they will keep, apart from any trades they make throughout the season. While their forward group looks fairly solid with goal scorers on all of their lines, their defensive unit is bad.  Captain Zdeno Chara, who will presumably be on the first defensive pairing, has gotten old very fast and it appears that his size has begun to be a hindrance to him rather than an advantage.  In a league that continues to get younger and faster, he will continue to be a detriment for the team.  Despite their issues on the back end, they still have a world class goaltender in Tuukka Rask, who can help cover up a lot of the defense's mistakes.  I think that Boston will be as good as they were last year, but I don't know if the moves they made will be enough to help them improve.  I think they will be competitive for a playoff spot all season long and I will determine if I think they'll make it when I make my playoff picks in a different post.

Breakout Candidate: 

  • RW David Pastrnak - Had 26 points in 51 games last season at the NHL level; with another year of development under his belt, Pastrnak will enter his age 21 season on the second line. With Loui Eriksson having left via free agency, Pastrnak will have the chance to shine in Boston this season.

Regression Candidate:

  • D Zdeno Chara (further regression) - Chara is old, big, and slow and those attributes do not play well in the current NHL.  He looked bad last year and should only look worse this year as the Eastern Conference (and the Atlantic Division in particular) continues to get younger.

Bounceback Candidate:

  • F David Backes - Last year, in St. Louis, the former Blues' captain had his lowest non-lockout season points total since 2007-08.  He will have to play a pivotal role on the Bruins' offense this season for Boston to have any chance at getting deep into the playoffs as he was essentially brought in to replace Loui Eriksson.  Backes' style of play should fit the Bruins' system really well and will lengthen their offense.
*All statistics and information come from: rosterresource.com, thehockeywriters.com, hockeydb.com, hockey-reference.com, and generalfanager.com

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