Saturday, October 29, 2016

MLB Offseason Preview - Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers

National League
Central Division
73-89
30.5 GB of Division Lead
Manager Craig Counsell
GM David Stearns
AAA Affiliate Colorado Springs Sky Sox
AA Affiliate Biloxi Shuckers


2016 Rankings

Hitting
AVG – 27th        
OPS – 18th       
Runs – 25th        
HR – 15th       
SB – 1st       
Starting Pitching
ERA – 17th        
K/9 – 28th        
H/9 – 22nd        


Relief Pitching
ERA – 12th        
K/9 – 26th        
H/9 – 20th        



Top Hitters

POS.
Name
AVG
OBP
Slug
HR
RBIs
WAR
SB
LF
Ryan Braun
.305
.365
.538
30
91
4.4
16
SS
Jonathan Villar
.285
.369
.457
19
63
3.9
62
C
Jonathan Lucroy
.299
.359
.482
13
50
2.3
5


Top Pitchers

POS.
Name
Record
ERA
IP/Saves
K
BB
ERA+
WAR
SP
Junior Guerra
9-3
2.81
121.2 IP
100
43
152
4.0
RP
Tyler Thornburg
8-5
2.15
67.0 IP
90
25
199
2.5
SP
Zach Davies
11-7
3.97
163.1 IP
135
38
107
2.3


Trades that Occurred During Season

  • Traded RP Will Smith to San Francisco for RP Phil Bickford and C Andrew Susac
  • Traded C Jonathan Lucroy and RP Jeremy Jeffress to Texas for OF Lewis Brinson and SP Luis Ortiz

Impending Free Agents

  • RP Chris Capuano
  • RP Blaine Boyes
  • RP Carlos Torres

Top Prospects

POS.
Name
Level
SS
Orlando Arcia
MLB
OF
Lewis Brinson
AAA
OF
Brett Phillips
AA
C
Jacob Nottingham
AA
SP
Luis Ortiz
AA
SP
Jorge Lopez
AA
OF
Trent Clark
A
SP
Josh Hader
AAA


Team MVP

  • Ryan Braun - Braun was Milwaukee's best player in a lineup that had several quality hitters in it.  He had his best season since 2012, when he finished second in NL MVP voting.  He batted over .300 this season, struck out fewer than 100 times, and continued his career rebound after having a solid season last year.  I think that if the Brewers had been a better team this year Braun would be getting solid MVP consideration.  He also contributed in the field, amassing six defensive runs saved while playing left field.

Success/Failure

  • Success - No one expected Milwaukee to win this season, so any on-field performance can't be held against the team as far as success or failure goes.  They were, however, more competitive than people expected them to be and they actually only finished 5.5 games behind the Pirates. One big area that the Brewers were successful in was in trades.  They were able to move catcher Jonathan Lucroy to Texas after a potential trade with the Indians for him fell through along with reliever Jeremy Jeffress and received outfielder Lewis Brinson and starter Luis Ortiz.  Both of these are high-level prospects and were both in the top 100 list of prospects with Brinson being closer to the majors.  They also traded reliever Will Smith to the Giants for pitcher Phil Bickford and catcher Andrew Susac.  Bickford was actually San Francisco's number one prospect and doesn't even crack the Brewers' top ten.  They now have baseball's number one farm system, according to MLB, following their trade deadline acquisitions.  Anytime a franchise makes the jump to number one in farm system rankings, it is always a successful season.

Offseason Outlook

  • The Brewers still won't be a playoff team in 2017, but could get to near .500.  They will need better pitching, both in their rotation and in the bullpen, in order to make the next jump in success.  If they attempt to compete for a playoff spot next season, this pitching need will have to be filled through free agency.  Their pitching prospects probably won't be ready by Opening Day and so they will need help from outside.  I think pursuing this path would be a mistake, however, as there is virtually no way that the Brewers make the playoffs next season despite any moves they make via free agency.  The front office, along with their fanbase, need to just be patient and allow their prospects to continue to develop until they are ready to get called up. They could possibly have the best group of young core players outside of the Cubs, which bodes well for the future of the franchise.  Milwaukee's struggle will be the division that they are in with the Cubs, St Louis, and Pittsburgh all being division rivals.  Pittsburgh and Chicago will both be good for the future with the farm systems they still have and the Cardinals are the Cardinals.  I do, however, think that St Louis could be approaching a period of struggle which would present an opening for the Brewers to get into the playoffs.  I think that the future looks bright for the Brewers and the fact that they have a solid core already locked down at the major league level and have the best farm system in baseball is even better.  For next year, I think that the Brewers' front office just needs to add cheap talent on the fringes of the roster, including the back end of the rotation and some bullpen spots.
*All stats and information come from baseball-reference.com, fangraphs.com, espn.com, rosterresource.com, baseballamerica.com, and spotrac.com

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