Monday, April 17, 2017

NHL Season Recap - Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche

2016-17 season: 22-56-4
Did not qualify for playoffs
Head Coach: Jared Bednar (2016)
7th Place Central Division
General Manager: Joe Sakic (2013)
14th Place Western Conference
AHL Affiliate: San Antonio Rampage
ECHL Affiliate: Colorado Eagles
Draft Position: Will have the greatest odds in the NHL Draft Lottery


Top Forwards

POS
Age
Name
Points
Goals
Assists
+/-
CF%
C
21
Nathan MacKinnon
53
16
27
-14
51.9
C
26
Matt Duchene
41
18
23
-34
51.0
RW
20
Mikko Rantanen
39
20
19
-25
49.5
LW
24
Gabriel Landeskog
33
18
15
-25
52.8
C
22
Mikhail Grigorenko
23
10
13
-14
47.2
LW
30
Blake Comeau
20
8
12
-19
50.8
RW
35
Rene Bourque
18
12
6
-19
48.1
RW
39
Jarome Iginla
18
8
10
-21
50.1
RW
23
Sven Andrighetto
15
5
10
0
50.4
C
31
Carl Soderberg
14
6
8
-26
46.5


Top Defensemen

POS
Age
Name
Points
Goals
Assists
+/-
CF%
D
25
Tyson Barrie
38
7
31
-34
50.0
D
36
Francois Beauchemin
18
5
13
-14
47.9
D
28
Erik Johnson
17
2
15
-6
51.2
D
33
Fedor Tyutin
13
1
12
-25
46.8
D
26
Patrick Wiercioch
12
4
8
-18
46.7


Top Goaltenders

POS
Age
Name
Games Started
W/L Record
Shutouts
GAA
Save %
G
24
Calvin Pickard
48
15-31-2
2
2.98
.904
G
28
Semyon Varlamov
23
6-17-0
1
3.38
.898
G
27
Jeremy Smith
8
1-6-1
0
3.54
.888
G
21
Spencer Martin
3
0-2-1
0
4.36
.865


Trades Made During the Season

What They Acquired
Team They Traded With
In Exchange For
D Cody Goloubef
Columbus Blue Jackets
D Ryan Stanton
LW Cody McLeod
Nashville Predators
C Felix Girard
Conditional 2018 4th RD Draft Pick
Los Angeles Kings
RW Jarome Iginla
FWD Andreas Martinsen
Montreal Canadiens
RW Sven Andrighetto


Impending Free Agents

POS
Age
Name
2016-17 Cap Hit
D
33
Fedor Tyutin
$2,000,000
LW
32
John Mitchell
$1,800,000
LW
26
Gabriel Bourque
$800,000
D
27
Cody Goloubef
$750,000
G
27
Jeremy Smith
$675,000
LW
35
Rene Bourque
$650,000
LW
24
Brendan Ranford
$625,000
D
26
Mat Clark
$600,000
C
28
Jim O’Brien
$600,000
RW
29
Mike Sislo
$600,000
G
27
Joe Cannata
$575,000


Draft Needs

  • The Avalanche have seven draft picks in the upcoming draft including two fourth round picks. They realistically need a little bit of everything, especially a right winger, a right-handed defensemen, and a goaltender of the future.  In this draft, however, the top six ranked prospects as ranked by NHL's Central Scouting are all centers and the Avalanche are pretty much guaranteed to pick no worse than five.  If they get the first or second overall pick Nolan Patrick and Nico Hischier are almost guaranteed to be the first two players off the board. Patrick has been the consensus number one overall prospect for a year now while Hischier has climbed the prospect ranks consistently with a strong season in the QMJHL.  Neither project to be as talented or as impactful as Connor McDavid or Auston Matthews but both could develop into true number one centers.  With the Avalanche potentially trading Matt Duchene this offseason, the team could have a hole to fill at the top of their forward group.  Patrick or Hischier could be that replacement for the future.

What I Said About Them Before the Season

  • I thought that the Avalanche replacing Patrick Roy with Jared Bednar, after Roy's surprising departure right before the season, would be beneficial to the team's success in 2016-17.  Roy didn't implement much of a system during his tenure behind the bench and the team failed the past two seasons.  I thought that the team would improve quite a bit over their 39-39-4 record but that their record may not necessarily be much better.  This means that I thought that individual players would see development that their Corsi would be better but that it wouldn't translate to wins.

Success/Failure

  • Big Failure - This isn't a team that was trying to tank this season.  They entered the season absolutely trying to make the playoffs.  They have had a top ten draft pick five of the past seven seasons and have failed to capitalize on it, despite having two of the most electric offensive players in Matt Duchene and Nathan MacKinnon.  The Avalanche are the first team since the '99-00 Atlanta Thrashers to finish with under 50 points and that Thrashers team was its first in franchise history.  It seems nearly impossible to finish with below 50 in today's NHL because of the loser point but the Avalanche managed to accomplish said feat.  The team as a whole was terrible as they finished with the worst shooting percentage and second worst save percentage in the league.  Their defense was really bad and their goaltending was abysmal and there seems to be on real end in sight.

Offseason Needs

  • I think that the first things the Avalanche need to do are to replace Joe Sakic as GM with someone who doesn't have such a vested interest in the franchise and also replace Jared Bednar. This season's struggles weren't Bednar's fault but he seems to be in over his head and moving in a new direction can't hurt.  They also need to finally move on tanking and rebuilding this roster group.  They have discussed trading Matt Duchene and Gabriel Landeskog this past season but never moved on it and it's time to pursue those transactions.  Nashville or Carolina would be excellent trade partners for Colorado as the Avalanche need to get NHL-ready top four defensemen in return and both of these franchises of those to offer.  Duchene will yield them a larger return but and it has been rumored that they want an NHL-ready defenseman, a top prospect, and a draft pick as minimum of a return for Duchene and a return for Landeskog wouldn't be much less.  Losing either or both of these players will certainly hurt the Avalanche but currently they are wasting their prime years on a middling franchise that won't be competitive anytime soon.  The Avalanche also need to figure out their defense situation which has some reasons for encouragement in Nikita Zadorov and Tyson Barrie but they desperately need a quality puck-moving defenseman.  They also need to figure out their goaltending situation, which is a position of problem as Semyon Varlamov can't stay healthy and Calvin Pickard and Jeremy Smith most likely aren't good enough to be the franchise future.  It's time to finally sell off their veteran players, recoup what value they can, and start this process over again.
*All stats and information came from hockey-reference.com, rosterresource.com, spotrac.com, NHL.com, hockeydb.com, and eliteprospects.com*

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